CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Pending
Alvin Kamara Under 38.5 Rushing Yards vs. Browns
The bet: Under 38.5 rushing yards
You checked 38.5, an alternate line. Most books: 39.5.
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 38.5 in 6 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 20 to Oct 25L6 average 20.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 25
- 15
- 36
- 23
- 12
- 34
- 5
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
20.8vs 38.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara rushing yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 38.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 38.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Hit | 34 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Hit | 12 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 36 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 15 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Alvin Kamara
- Rushing yards per game
- 20.8
Season · 6 games
Alvin Kamara
KAMARA · TEAM CARRY SHARE
28.1%
2026 regular season6 games
Cleveland Browns
CLE allows
115.9rush yds allowed/game to RBs
4th most (L4: 5th most)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, NO
NO 14, CLE 7
Market movement
Price history
Under 38.5 rushing yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
−109
Current
−111
Change
−2
Best available moved from −109 to −111. That pays $1.65 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- NFL: Charlie Smyth to return as starting New Orleans Saints kicker this weekend (opens in a new tab)
Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
New Orleans Saints head coach Kellen Moore confirms Charlie Smyth will start as kicker against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday.
bbc.co.uk · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Travis Etienne Jr.
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Deshaun Watson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 38.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 38.5 rushing yards?
Alvin Kamara hit under 38.5 rushing yards in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.