CJ Donaldson
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NO Pending
Alvin Kamara Under 12.5 Carries vs. Browns
The bet: Under 12.5 carries
CLE@NO Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 12.5 in 6 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 20 to Oct 25L6 average 6.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 25
- 9
- 9
- 7
- 3
- 7
- 6
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
6.8vs 12.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Alvin Kamara carries over the last 6 games versus a line of 12.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 12.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsPIT(neutral) | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 18 | @NYG | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 11 | vsMIN | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 5 | vsATL | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | vsLV | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 20 | @BAL | Hit | 9 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Alvin Kamara
- Carries per game
- 6.8
Season · 6 games
Alvin Kamara
KAMARA · TEAM CARRY SHARE
28.1%
2026 regular season6 games
Cleveland Browns
CLE allows
23.6carries allowed/game to RBs
T-13th most (L4: 5th most)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, NO
NO 14, CLE 7
Market movement
Price history
Under 12.5 carries
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
+103
Current
−104
Change
−7
Best available moved from +103 to −104. That pays $6.85 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New Orleans Saints
Jordyn Tyson
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Cleveland Browns
Maliek Collins
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Deshaun Watson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Alvin Kamara Under 12.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Alvin Kamara Under 12.5 carries?
Alvin Kamara hit under 12.5 carries in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the best price for Alvin Kamara Under 12.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.