NFL player prop PIT Pending
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Jaylen Warren Under 16.5 Carries
The bet: Under 16.5 carries
Stayed under 16.5 in 3 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 15.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Indianapolis Colts | Under 16.5 carries | 15 carries | +106 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
3of7
(43%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 11
- 17
- 17
- 15
- 14
- 18
- 17
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
15.6vs 16.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Jaylen Warren carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsCLE | Miss | 17 |
| Oct 25 | vsNO(neutral) | Miss | 18 |
| Oct 18 | @TB | Hit | 14 |
| Oct 11 | vsIND | Hit | 15 |
| Oct 1 | @CLE | Miss | 17 |
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Miss | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 11 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Team comparison
Pittsburgh Steelers
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
21.9
Points / game
19.7
Allowed / game
Cincinnati Bengals
2026 season · 7 games
5–2
Record
29.4
Points / game
22.6
Allowed / game
Market movement
News and availability
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaylen Warren Under 16.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaylen Warren Under 16.5 carries?
Jaylen Warren hit under 16.5 carries in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.