Demond Claiborne
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
Justin Jefferson Over 79.5 Receiving Yards vs. Bills
The bet: Over 79.5 receiving yards
You checked 79.5, an alternate line. Most books: 77.5.
BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 79.5 in 1 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L6 average 55.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
1of6
(17%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 92
- 55
- 32
- 79
- 44
- 33
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
55.8vs 79.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Justin Jefferson receiving yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 79.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 79.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Miss | 33 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Miss | 44 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Miss | 79 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Miss | 32 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 55 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 92 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Justin Jefferson
- Receiving yards per game
- 55.8
Season · 6 games
Justin Jefferson
JEFFERSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
27%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
JEFFERSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
31%
2026 regular season6 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
154rec yds allowed/game to WRs
9th most (L4: T-12th fewest)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 79.5 receiving yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
+136
Current
−106
Change
−42
Best available moved from +136 to −106. That pays $41.66 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Sources checked
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Jauan Jennings
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Jordan Hancock
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Joshua Palmer
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Justin Jefferson Over 79.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Justin Jefferson Over 79.5 receiving yards?
Justin Jefferson hit over 79.5 receiving yards in 1 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (17% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.