Demond Claiborne
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
Justin Jefferson Under 6.5 Receptions vs. Bills
The bet: Under 6.5 receptions
BUF@MIN Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 6.5 in 5 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L6 average 4.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 8
- 3
- 2
- 6
- 4
- 5
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
4.7vs 6.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Justin Jefferson receptions over the last 6 games versus a line of 6.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 6.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @DET | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 4 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 8 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Justin Jefferson
- Receptions per game
- 4.7
Season · 6 games
Justin Jefferson
JEFFERSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
27%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
JEFFERSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
31%
2026 regular season6 games
Buffalo Bills
BUF allows
12.0rec allowed/game to WRs
T-13th most (L4: T-16th most)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Under 6.5 receptions
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−155
Current
−115
Change
+40
Best available moved from −155 to −115. That pays $22.44 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings could 'address the quarterback position' via a trade after Kyler Murray injury Recent stories suggested that the Minnesota Vikings could at least consider making a move to land Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury (opens in a new tab)
Vikings Starting Carson Wentz At QB vs. Bills Amid Kyler Murray Injury
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Minnesota Vikings
Jauan Jennings
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Jordan Hancock
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Joshua Palmer
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Justin Jefferson Under 6.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Justin Jefferson Under 6.5 receptions?
Justin Jefferson hit under 6.5 receptions in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the best price for Justin Jefferson Under 6.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.