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NFL player prop KC Pending

Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 Passing Yards vs. Jets

The bet: Over 249.5 passing yards

You checked 249.5, an alternate line. Most books: 244.5.

NYJ@KC Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 249.5 in 3 of his last 7

3of7(43%)

Last 7 gamesSep 14 to Nov 1L7 average 256.4

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

3of7

(43%)

Sep 14 – Nov 1

  1. 184
  2. 382
  3. 246
  4. 225
  5. 272
  6. 165
  7. 321

Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

256.4vs 249.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Patrick Mahomes passing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 249.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 249.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing Yards
Nov 1@DEN
Hit
321
Oct 25@SEA
Miss
165
Oct 18vsLAC
Hit
272
Oct 4@LV
Miss
225
Sep 27@MIA
Miss
246
Sep 20vsIND
Hit
382
Sep 14vsDEN
Miss
184

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Patrick Mahomes

Passing yards per game

Season · 7 games

256.4

Patrick Mahomes

MAHOMES · COMPLETIONS PER GAME

22per game

2026 regular season7 games

New York Jets

NYJ allows

208.4pass yds allowed/game to QBs

6th fewest (L4: 8th fewest)8 games

NYJ PASS RUSH

2.4sacks/game by NYJ defense

Last 5 games

Market movement

News and availability

Matchup updates

News check is unavailable right now.

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards at this number?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 249.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 7 tracked games (43%). Best price is +102 at BetRivers.

What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 249.5 passing yards in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).

What is the best price for Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards?

+102 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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