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NFL player prop KC Pending

Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Jets

The bet: Over 1.5 passing tds

You checked 1.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.

NYJ@KC Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 1.5 in 5 of his last 7

5of7(71%)

Last 7 gamesSep 14 to Nov 1L7 average 1.7

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

5of7

(71%)

Sep 14 – Nov 1

  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 2
  4. 2
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 3

Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

1.7vs 1.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Patrick Mahomes passing tds over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing TDs
Nov 1@DEN
Hit
3
Oct 25@SEA
Miss
0
Oct 18vsLAC
Miss
0
Oct 4@LV
Hit
2
Sep 27@MIA
Hit
2
Sep 20vsIND
Hit
3
Sep 14vsDEN
Hit
2

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Patrick Mahomes

Passing touchdowns per game

Season · 7 games

1.7

Patrick Mahomes

MAHOMES · COMPLETIONS PER GAME

22per game

2026 regular season7 games

New York Jets

NYJ allows

1.8pass TDs allowed/game to QBs

T-10th most (L4: T-5th most)8 games

NYJ PASS RUSH

2.4sacks/game by NYJ defense

Last 5 games

Market movement

News and availability

Matchup updates

News check is unavailable right now.

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds at this number?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 1.5 passing tds in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%). Best price is −209 at Caesars.

What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds?

Patrick Mahomes hit over 1.5 passing tds in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).

What is the best price for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds?

−209 at Caesars is the best price attached to this check for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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