Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAR Settled: Hit
Passing Yards
You checked 286.5, an alternate line. Most books: 276.5.
Over 286.5 passing yards
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 12, 5:55 PM ET −115 at BetMGM
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Matthew Stafford hit over 286.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 383.
Closing price −115 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
297.3vs 286.5 line
Based on 4 games
Matthew Stafford passing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 286.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 317 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Hit | 390 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Hit | 327 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 155 |
Closing price: BetMGM −115
Prices as of Oct 12, 5:55 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Matthew Stafford: 299 passing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−114
Current
−115
Change
−1
Best available moved from −114 to −115. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
plans to play for the Rams against the Buffalo Bills
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
CJ Daniels
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Matthew Stafford hit over 286.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Matthew Stafford hit over 286.5 passing yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−115 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Matthew Stafford Over 286.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.