Alaric Jackson
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAR Settled: Miss
Passing Yards
You checked 289.5, an alternate line. Most books: 279.5.
Over 289.5 passing yards
4 of 5 decided (80%) · last 5 games
Price as of Oct 18, 4:03 PM ET +114 at DraftKings
Verified facts
Matthew Stafford hit over 289.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 222.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
4of5
(80%)
Sep 10 – Oct 12
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
314.4vs 289.5 line
Based on 5 games
Matthew Stafford passing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 289.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | vsBUF | Hit | 383 |
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 317 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Hit | 390 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Hit | 327 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 155 |
Closing price: DraftKings +114 · 13¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Oct 18, 4:03 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Matthew Stafford: 299 passing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
21
Points / game
29.7
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−102
Current
+114
Change
+16
Best available moved from −102 to +114. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Rookie running back Jeremiyah Love won't play for the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday against the Los Angeles Rams because of a lingering left ankle injury.
Cardinals' rookie RB Jeremiyah Love ruled out vs. Rams with ankle injury
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Alaric Jackson
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Andrew Billings
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Andrew Wingard
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Matthew Stafford hit over 289.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%).
Matthew Stafford hit over 289.5 passing yards in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
+114 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Matthew Stafford Over 289.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.