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NFL player prop NYJ Pending

Geno Smith Over 209.5 Passing Yards vs. Chiefs

The bet: Over 209.5 passing yards

You checked 209.5, an alternate line. Most books: 217.5.

NYJ@KC Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 209.5 in 5 of his last 7

5of7(71%)

Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 242.6

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

5of7

(71%)

Sep 20 – Nov 1

  1. 247
  2. 321
  3. 119
  4. 182
  5. 252
  6. 287
  7. 290

Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

242.6vs 209.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Geno Smith passing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 209.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 209.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing Yards
Nov 1vsLV
Hit
290
Oct 25vsMIA
Hit
287
Oct 18@NE
Hit
252
Oct 11vsCLE
Miss
182
Oct 4@CHI
Miss
119
Sep 27@DET
Hit
321
Sep 20vsGB
Hit
247

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Geno Smith

Passing yards per game

Season · 8 games

239.1

Geno Smith

SMITH · COMPLETIONS PER GAME

20.6per game

2026 regular season8 games

Kansas City Chiefs

KC allows

228.4pass yds allowed/game to QBs

13th fewest (L4: 10th most)7 games

KC PASS RUSH

1.0sacks/game by KC defense

Last 5 games

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

The latest saved updates may be out of date.

Research refreshed

Latest sourced reports

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

Kansas City Chiefs

Peter Woods

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

New York Jets

Garrett Wilson

out

Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Max Mitchell

out

Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Geno Smith Over 209.5 passing yards at this number?

Geno Smith hit over 209.5 passing yards in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%). Last seen is −134 at Caesars.

What is the historical hit rate for Geno Smith Over 209.5 passing yards?

Geno Smith hit over 209.5 passing yards in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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