Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Passing TDs
Under 1.5 passing tds
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Price as of Oct 15, 8:10 PM ET −152 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 0.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
2of4
(50%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.8vs 1.5 line
Based on 4 games
Sam Darnold passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 0 |
Closing price: DraftKings −152 · 23¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 15, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +126
Over +115
Game context
Sam Darnold: 1.4 passing touchdowns average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−158
Current
−152
Change
+6
Best available moved from −158 to −152. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jordan Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Avery Smith
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Sam Darnold hit under 1.5 passing tds in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
−152 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Sam Darnold Under 1.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.