Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Miss
The bet: Under 226.5 passing yards
You checked 226.5, an alternate line. Most books: 224.5.
Price as of Oct 15, 8:09 PM ET −113 at FanDuel
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Sam Darnold averaged 206.6 passing yards across 5 stored games, below the 226.5 line. He had 29.8 pass attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
Showing saved research.
Final: 278.
Closing price −113 at FanDuel. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
188.8vs 226.5 line
Based on 4 games
Sam Darnold passing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 226.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 195 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 168 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 379 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 13 |
Closing price: FanDuel −113
Prices as of Oct 15, 8:09 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−113
Current
−113
Change
0
Best available moved from −113 to −113. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jordan Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Avery Smith
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Sam Darnold hit under 226.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Last seen is −113 at FanDuel.
Sam Darnold hit under 226.5 passing yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−113 at FanDuel was the recorded closing price for Sam Darnold Under 226.5 passing yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.