Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAR Settled: Miss
Passing TDs
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.
Over 4.5 passing tds
0 of 4 decided (0%) · this season
Price as of Oct 12, 8:10 PM ET +1400 at BetMGM
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Matthew Stafford hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of his last 4 tracked games (0%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 3.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 0 of 1 (0%) in the last 1.
0of4
(0%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.5vs 4.5 line
Based on 4 games
Matthew Stafford passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 0 |
Closing price: BetMGM +1400 · 600¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Oct 12, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Matthew Stafford: 1.8 passing touchdowns average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+1400
Current
+1400
Change
0
Best available moved from +1400 to +1400. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Pregame research captured
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
plans to play for the Rams against the Buffalo Bills
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
CJ Daniels
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Matthew Stafford hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of his last 4 tracked games (0%).
Matthew Stafford hit over 4.5 passing tds in 0 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (0% hit rate).
+1400 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Matthew Stafford Over 4.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.