Braxton Jones
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop TB Pending
Today's check
Baker Mayfield Under 232.5 Pass + Rush Yards
The bet: Under 232.5 pass + rush yards
You checked 232.5, an alternate line. Most books: 229.5.
TB@CHI Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET
Stayed under 232.5 in 4 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L5 average 151.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
4of5
(80%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 246
- 211
- 223
- 65
- 14
Pass + Rush Yards per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
151.8vs 232.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Baker Mayfield pass + rush yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 232.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 232.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass + Rush Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsATL | Hit | 14 |
| Oct 25 | @CAR | Hit | 65 |
| Sep 27 | vsMIN | Hit | 223 |
| Sep 20 | vsCLE | Hit | 211 |
| Sep 13 | @CIN | Miss | 246 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Baker Mayfield
- Passing + rushing yards per game
- 151.8
Season · 5 games
Baker Mayfield
MAYFIELD · TEAM CARRY SHARE
9.4%
2026 regular season5 games
Chicago Bears
CHI allows
234.6pass yds allowed/game to QBs
15th fewest (L4: 5th most)8 games
CHI PASS RUSH
3.0sacks/game by CHI defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Under 232.5 pass + rush yards
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−112
Current
−114
Change
−2
Best available moved from −112 to −114. That pays $1.57 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chicago Bears hit with another troubling development in injury-riddled secondary (opens in a new tab)
the Chicago Bears will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai (opens in a new tab)
Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chicago Bears
Kentavius Street
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield
available
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Jalen McMillan
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Baker Mayfield Under 232.5 pass + rush yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Baker Mayfield Under 232.5 pass + rush yards?
Baker Mayfield hit under 232.5 pass + rush yards in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
What is the best price for Baker Mayfield Under 232.5 pass + rush yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.