Braxton Jones
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop CHI Pending
D'Andre Swift Over 15.5 Carries vs. Buccaneers
The bet: Over 15.5 carries
TB@CHI Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET
Cleared 15.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 2L7 average 17.9
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 20 – Nov 2
- 16
- 20
- 15
- 9
- 16
- 22
- 27
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
17.9vs 15.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
D'Andre Swift carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 15.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 15.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @SEA | Hit | 27 |
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 22 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 16 |
| Oct 11 | @GB | Miss | 9 |
| Oct 4 | vsNYJ | Miss | 15 |
| Sep 28 | vsPHI | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Hit | 16 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
D'Andre Swift
- Carries per game
- 17.9
Season · 8 games
D'Andre Swift
SWIFT · TEAM CARRY SHARE
50.9%
2026 regular season8 games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB allows
18.6carries allowed/game to RBs
4th fewest (L4: 5th fewest)8 games
TB · CARRIES FACED
21.2per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
Price history
Over 15.5 carries
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−110
Current
−129
Change
−19
Best available moved from −110 to −129. That pays $13.39 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai (opens in a new tab)
Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai
Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chicago Bears
Kentavius Street
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jalen McMillan
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Yaya Diaby
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about D'Andre Swift Over 15.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for D'Andre Swift Over 15.5 carries?
D'Andre Swift hit over 15.5 carries in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the best price for D'Andre Swift Over 15.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.