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Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

B · New York Mets · MLB

Today vs Atlanta Braves · 1:41 PM EDT

Season avg lineup spot 6.7 · L10 7.8

Data updated 17m ago

Francisco Alvarez, B for the New York Mets, has 20 active MLB prop lines tracked for the upcoming matchup against the Atlanta Braves. Alvarez's HR line sits at under 0.5, hitting in 9 of his last 10 games. The recent stretch backs it up: 4 of 5.

Alvarez is streaking in multiple markets: 7G on Walks, 4G on Doubles. The best available line for under 0.5 HR is -1099 at Pinnacle. 8 rated medium out of 20 tracked.

Active Props(20)

Under 0.5HRMediumEV%
9/10 L10-1099 @ Pinnacle
ATL @ NYM
2+HRLowEV%
0/10 L10+3500 @ Caesars
ATL @ NYM
1+HRLowEV%
1/10 L10+370 @ Caesars
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5HitsLowEV%
2/10 L10+121 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+HitsMediumEV%
8/10 L10-162 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+Total BasesMediumEV%
8/10 L10-159 @ Caesars
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5Total BasesLowEV%
2/10 L10+119 @ Caesars
ATL @ NYM
1+RBIsLowEV%
3/10 L10+201 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5RBIsMediumEV%
7/10 L10-286 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+RunsLowEV%
4/10 L10+155 @ BetMGM
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5RunsLowEV%
6/10 L10-210 @ BetMGM
ATL @ NYM
Under 1.5H/R/RBIMediumEV%
6/10 L10-151 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
2+H/R/RBILowEV%
4/10 L10+114 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+SinglesLowEV%
5/10 L10+137 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5SinglesMediumEV%
5/10 L10-190 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+DoublesLowEV%
2/10 L10+597 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5DoublesMediumEV%
8/10 L10🔥 4G Active Streak-1000 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+WalksLowEV%
2/10 L10+229 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
Under 0.5WalksMediumEV%
8/10 L10🔥 7G Hot Streak-330 @ DraftKings
ATL @ NYM
1+SBLowEV%
0/10 L10+2200 @ FanDuel
ATL @ NYM

Active Streaks

Under 0.5Walks
🧊 7G
Under 0.5Doubles
🧊 4G

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Frequently asked questions

What are Francisco Alvarez's best props right now?

Francisco Alvarez currently has 20 active props tracked by WagerLens. Props with "High" confidence ratings have strong historical hit rates.

How are prop hit rates calculated?

Hit rates show how often a player has gone over or under a prop line in recent games. "8/10 L10" means the prop hit in 8 of the last 10 games. WagerLens tracks hit rates across 1, 3, 5, 7, and 10-game windows.

What is a high-EV prop?

A high-EV (high expected value) prop is one where the available sportsbook price is better than our fair-odds estimate. WagerLens grades a prop as High confidence when the hit rate, line movement, and matchup all line up in the same direction. Higher confidence doesn't guarantee a win — it means the math is on your side over the long run.

What do the confidence ratings mean?

Confidence ratings (High, Medium, Low) reflect how strongly historical data supports a prop hitting. High confidence means the prop has hit consistently over the last 10 games and the matchup looks favorable. Low means mixed results or a tough spot.