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San Diego Padres

Team Total·Under 4.5·NYM @ SD

4:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is San Diego Padres Under 4.5 Team Total a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

San Diego Padres has hit the under 4.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+150· BetMGM

Best Under

−187· Caesars

Updated 50 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

San Diego Padres vs 4.5: recent track record

Recent games for San Diego Padres team total vs line 4.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -5.3%
Fresh 50 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L1010%(1/10)
Under
EV -3.4%
Fresh 50 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Runs L1

3

Runs Avg

3.78

Runs Avg L3

2.33

Runs Avg L5

2.2

Runs Avg L7

2.43

Runs Avg L10

2.7

Wins

33

Losses

30

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

San Diego Padres 5+ Team Total

11 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

San Diego Padres Under 4.5 Team Total

11 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is San Diego Padres Under 4.5 Team Total a good bet at this number?

San Diego Padres has hit the under 4.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is San Diego Padres's hit rate on this prop?

San Diego Padres went Under 4.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on San Diego Padres Under 4.5?

−187 at Caesars is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after NYM @ SD (scheduled for 4:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.