New York Mets
Team Total·Under 4.5·NYM @ ATL
7:16 PM ET
Is New York Mets Under 4.5 Team Total a good bet at this number?
New York Mets has hit the under 4.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+112· Pinnacle
Best Under
−131· Pinnacle
New York Mets vs 4.5: recent track record
Recent games for New York Mets team total vs line 4.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Runs L1
10
Runs Avg
4.02
Runs Avg L3
5.33
Runs Avg L5
4.4
Runs Avg L7
3.86
Runs Avg L10
3.7
Wins
37
Losses
53
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
New York Mets 5+ Team Total
Price history for the Under
New York Mets Under 4.5 Team Total
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is New York Mets Under 4.5 Team Total a good bet at this number?
New York Mets has hit the under 4.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is New York Mets's hit rate on this prop?
New York Mets went Under 4.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on New York Mets Under 4.5?
−131 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after NYM @ ATL (scheduled for 7:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.