Yordan Alvarez
Total Bases·2+·MIA @ HOU
8:11 PM ET
Is Yordan Alvarez 2+ Total Bases a good bet at this number?
Yordan Alvarez has had 2+ total bases in 7 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−105· BetMGM
Best Under
−110· DraftKings
Yordan Alvarez vs 1.5: recent track record
Recent games for Yordan Alvarez total bases vs line 1.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
100
BA
0.324
SLG
0.651
Tb L1
9
Tb Avg L3
4.333
Tb Avg L5
3.6
Tb Avg L7
4.143
Tb Avg L10
3
Tb Avg
2.37
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Yordan Alvarez 2+ Total Bases
Price history for the Under
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Total Bases
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Yordan Alvarez 2+ Total Bases a good bet at this number?
Yordan Alvarez has had 2+ total bases in 7 straight games. Lean over. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Yordan Alvarez's hit rate on this prop?
Yordan Alvarez went 2+ in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Yordan Alvarez 2+?
−105 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after MIA @ HOU (scheduled for 8:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.