Ildemaro Vargas
Total Bases·Under 1.5·ARI @ CIN
7:16 PM ET
Is Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Total Bases a good bet at this number?
Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 1.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+145· BetRivers
Best Under
−159· Caesars
Ildemaro Vargas vs 1.5: recent track record
Recent games for Ildemaro Vargas total bases vs line 1.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
59
OPS
0.737
Tb L1
0
Tb Avg L3
0
Tb Avg L5
0
Tb Avg L7
0.143
Tb Avg L10
0.3
Tb Avg
1.593
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Ildemaro Vargas 2+ Total Bases
Price history for the Under
Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Total Bases
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5 Total Bases a good bet at this number?
Ildemaro Vargas has hit the under 1.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
What is Ildemaro Vargas's hit rate on this prop?
Ildemaro Vargas went Under 1.5 in 10 of 10 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Ildemaro Vargas Under 1.5?
−159 at Caesars is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after ARI @ CIN (scheduled for 7:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.