Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Miss
Rushing Yards
You checked 39.5, an alternate line. Most books: 36.5.
Under 39.5 rushing yards
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 12, 6:45 PM ET −130 at theScore Bet
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Josh Allen hit under 39.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 121.
Closing price −130 at theScore Bet. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Los Angeles Rams | 39.5 | −130 | miss |
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
29.5vs 39.5 line
Based on 4 games
Josh Allen rushing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 39.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Miss | 69 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Hit | 23 |
Closing price: theScore Bet −130
Prices as of Oct 12, 6:45 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −103
Over −105
Over +110
Over +105
Over +116
Game context
Josh Allen: 40 rushing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−114
Current
−114
Change
0
Best available moved from −114 to −114. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Pregame research captured
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
CJ Daniels
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Josh Allen hit under 39.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Josh Allen hit under 39.5 rushing yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−130 at theScore Bet is the best price attached to this check for Josh Allen Under 39.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.