Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Hit
Rushing Yards
You checked 30.5, an alternate line. Most books: 31.5.
Under 30.5 rushing yards
2 of 3 decided (67%) · last 3 games
Price as of Oct 4, 12:57 PM ET −105 at Fanatics
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Josh Allen hit under 30.5 rushing yards in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 4.
Closing price −105 at Fanatics. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | New England Patriots | 30.5 | −105 | hit |
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
38.0vs 30.5 line
Based on 3 games
Josh Allen rushing yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 30.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Miss | 69 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Hit | 23 |
Closing price: Fanatics −105
Prices as of Oct 4, 12:57 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Josh Allen: 40 rushing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
22.7
Points / game
18.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−110
Current
−105
Change
+5
Best available moved from −110 to −105. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
Drake Maye has been cleared to play for the New England Patriots against the Buffalo Bills despite being listed on the injury report with a right shoulder issue...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
Patriots' Drake Maye responds to report about rift with Mike Vrabel, makes firm shoulder injury statement
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Christian Benford
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
A.J. Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Behren Morton
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Josh Allen hit under 30.5 rushing yards in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%).
Josh Allen hit under 30.5 rushing yards in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
−105 at Fanatics is the best price attached to this check for Josh Allen Under 30.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.