Andrew Wingard
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop DEN Pending
The bet: Under 11.5 rushing yards
You checked 11.5, an alternate line. Most books: 10.5.
Best price now −125 at theScore Bet, as of Oct 25, 12:51 PM ET · 1 book quoting · Updating prices...
Opened −114 at FanDuel, now −125
6 of 6 decided (100%) · this season
Verified facts
Bo Nix averaged 7 rushing yards across 5 stored games, below the 11.5 line. He had 3.8 rushing attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Arizona Cardinals allowed 107 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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All games and results for this bet6of6
(100%)
Sep 14 – Oct 15
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
6.2vs 11.5 line
Based on 6 games
Bo Nix rushing yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 11.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Hit | 2 |
Best price now: theScore Bet −125
Prices as of Oct 25, 12:51 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
NIX · TEAM CARRY SHARE
15%
2026 regular season6 games
ARI · RUSHING YARDS
128.8yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Rest
+3days rest, DEN
DEN 10, ARI 7
Open
−114
Current
−125
Change
−11
Best available moved from −114 to −125. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Recent rumors suggested that Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton could be a game or two away from benching struggling starting quarterback Bo Nix in favor of ...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
The Denver Broncos' offense, specifically quarterback Bo Nix, has struggled this season and a change in playcallers has not helped so far.
foxsports.com · · Matchup report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Andrew Wingard
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jeremiyah Love
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jonah Elliss
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Talanoa Hufanga
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Bo Nix hit under 11.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 6 tracked games (100%). Best price is −125 at theScore Bet.
Bo Nix hit under 11.5 rushing yards in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
−125 at theScore Bet is the best price attached to this check for Bo Nix Under 11.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.