Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Rushing Yards
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 5.5.
Over 4.5 rushing yards
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 15, 8:09 PM ET −118 at BetMGM
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 19.
Closing price −118 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | 4.5 | −118 | hit |
3of4
(75%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
4.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 4 games
Sam Darnold rushing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 0 |
Closing price: BetMGM −118 · 20¢ better than FanDuel
Prices as of Oct 15, 8:09 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Sam Darnold: 7 rushing yards average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−114
Current
−118
Change
−4
Best available moved from −114 to −118. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jordan Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Avery Smith
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−118 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.