C.J. Gardner-Johnson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Hit
Ray Davis Over 4.5 Rushing Yards vs. Ravens
The bet: Over 4.5 rushing yards
BAL@BUF Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 4.5 in 0 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Oct 18L5 average 2.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 4.5 rushing yards won.
Final: 30.
Hit rate vs the line
0of5
(0%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
- 3
- 0
- 3
- 2
- 4
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
2.4vs 4.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Ray Davis rushing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @LV | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 12 | @LA | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Miss | 3 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Baltimore Ravens
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
22.4
Points / game
25.4
Allowed / game
Buffalo Bills
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
33.3
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 rushing yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−260
Current
−105
Change
+155
Best available moved from −260 to −105. That pays $56.78 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Highmark Stadium
- Orchard Park, NY · Grass
- Forecast
- 65°F3% precipitationGusts 9 mph
Game-day inactives
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
G · Coach's Decision ·
Jalon Kilgore
S · Coach's Decision ·
Skyler Bell
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Spencer Brown
OT · Back ·
Baltimore Ravens
Aeneas Peebles
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Chandler Rivers
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Elijah Sarratt
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Jaylinn Hawkins
S · Knee ·
Olaivavega Ioane
G · Knee - MCL ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- BUF -3
- Game total
- 54.5
- Buffalo Bills
- −162
- Baltimore Ravens
- +136
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Buffalo Bills
- 61%
- Baltimore Ravens
- 38%
Buffalo Bills by 2.9
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills (opens in a new tab)
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Buffalo Bills
Dee Alford
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Baltimore Ravens
Adam Randall
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Emery Jones Jr.
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Ray Davis Over 4.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Ray Davis Over 4.5 rushing yards?
Ray Davis hit over 4.5 rushing yards in 0 of 5 games across the last 5 games (0% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Ray Davis Over 4.5 rushing yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.