Kerby Joseph
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop GB Pending
The bet: Over 9.5 rushing yards
Best price now −122 at BetRivers, as of Oct 25, 2:20 PM ET · 6 books quoting · Updating prices...
Opened −280 at Caesars, now −122
6 of 6 decided (100%) · this season
Verified facts
MarShawn Lloyd averaged 17 rushing yards across 5 stored games, above the 9.5 line. He had 7 rushing attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved statistics.
The opponent: Detroit Lions allowed 84.4 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 5 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Have an account? Sign in
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this bet6of6
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
20.3vs 9.5 line
Based on 6 games
MarShawn Lloyd rushing yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 9.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vsDAL | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 31 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 11 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 13 | @MIN | Hit | 37 |
Best price now: BetRivers −122 · 21¢ better than Caesars
Prices as of Oct 25, 2:20 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
LLOYD · TEAM CARRY SHARE
38.4%
2026 regular season6 games
DET · RUSHING YARDS
107yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Rest
+7days rest, DET
GB 7, DET 14Divisional game
Open
−280
Current
−122
Change
+158
Best available moved from −280 to −122. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Research refreshed
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Detroit Lions by 2.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Packers’ wide receiver room remains thin for Lions showdown despite plenty of encouraging news
Jordan Love also dealt with a back issue during practice.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Kerby Joseph
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brian Branch
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Luke Musgrave
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Micah Parsons
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
MarShawn Lloyd hit over 9.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 6 tracked games (100%). Best price is −122 at BetRivers.
MarShawn Lloyd hit over 9.5 rushing yards in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
−122 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for MarShawn Lloyd Over 9.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.