Devin Moore
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop SF Pending
Today's check
Kaelon Black Over 9.5 Rushing Yards
The bet: Over 9.5 rushing yards
You checked 9.5, an alternate line. Most books: 35.5.
SF@DAL Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 9.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 8L7 average 34.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 20 – Nov 8
- 25
- 17
- 13
- 16
- 34
- 63
- 70
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
34.0vs 9.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Kaelon Black rushing yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 9.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 9.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vsLV | Hit | 70 |
| Oct 25 | @ATL | Hit | 63 |
| Oct 19 | vsWAS | Hit | 34 |
| Oct 11 | @SEA | Hit | 16 |
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Hit | 25 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Kaelon Black
- Rushing yards per game
- 37.9
Season · 8 games
Kaelon Black
BLACK · TEAM CARRY SHARE
29.1%
2026 regular season8 games
BLACK · CARRIES PER GAME
8.5per game
2026 regular season8 games
Dallas Cowboys
DAL allows
112.8rush yds allowed/game to RBs
4th most (L4: 11th most)9 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 9.5 rushing yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
−750
Current
−950
Change
−200
Best available moved from −750 to −950. That pays $2.80 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- AT&T Stadium
- Arlington, TX · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 49°F47% precipitationGusts 20 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- SF -4.5
- Game total
- 55.5
- Dallas Cowboys
- +180
- San Francisco 49ers
- −218
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Dallas Cowboys
- 36%
- San Francisco 49ers
- 64%
San Francisco 49ers by 3.5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Kendre Miller's Huge 1,399-Yard TCU Season And Injury Battles Before Cowboys Move (opens in a new tab)
Kendre Miller and Dallas Cowboys running backs coach Derrick Foster are together again. Dallas signed Miller to the practice squad Wednesday
Kendre Miller and Dallas Cowboys running backs coach Derrick Foster are together again. Dallas signed Miller to the practice squad Wednesday
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallas Cowboys
Donovan Ezeiruaku
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
San Francisco 49ers
Brandon Aiyuk
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
C.J. West
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kaelon Black Over 9.5 rushing yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Kaelon Black Over 9.5 rushing yards?
Kaelon Black hit over 9.5 rushing yards in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.