Aidan O'Connell
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Miss
Rushing Yards
You checked 33.5, an alternate line. Most books: 32.5.
Over 33.5 rushing yards
2 of 5 decided (40%) · last 5 games
Price as of Oct 18, 4:24 PM ET −105 at theScore Bet
Verified facts
Josh Allen hit over 33.5 rushing yards in 2 of his last 5 tracked games (40%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 1.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | Las Vegas Raiders | 33.5 | −108 | miss |
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | New England Patriots | 33.5 | −105 | miss |
| Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | 33.5 | −115 | miss |
| Sep 17, 8:15 PM ET | Detroit Lions | 33.5 | −110 | hit |
2of5
(40%)
Sep 13 – Oct 12
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
47.8vs 33.5 line
Based on 5 games
Josh Allen rushing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 33.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | @LA | Hit | 121 |
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Miss | 22 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Hit | 69 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Miss | 23 |
Closing price: theScore Bet −105 · 13¢ better than FanDuel
Prices as of Oct 18, 4:24 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Josh Allen: 40 rushing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
27
Points / game
27
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−114
Current
−105
Change
+9
Best available moved from −114 to −105. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen addressed whispers about his health after a less-than-stellar rushing game in Week 4.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
signing 25-year-old Jamari Thrash to the practice squad ahead of their Week 6
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Aidan O'Connell
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Bryce Cabeldue
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Josh Allen hit over 33.5 rushing yards in 2 of his last 5 tracked games (40%).
Josh Allen hit over 33.5 rushing yards in 2 of 5 games across the last 5 games (40% hit rate).
−105 at theScore Bet is the best price attached to this check for Josh Allen Over 33.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.