Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop SF Settled: Miss
Rushing Yards
You checked 20.5, an alternate line. Most books: 23.5.
Over 20.5 rushing yards
4 of 4 decided (100%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 4:20 PM ET −175 at BetMGM
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Brock Purdy hit over 20.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 6.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | 20.5 | −155 | miss |
4of4
(100%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
30.5vs 20.5 line
Based on 4 games
Brock Purdy rushing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 20.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 29 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 34 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Hit | 30 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Hit | 29 |
Closing price: BetMGM −175
Prices as of Oct 11, 4:20 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Brock Purdy: 25.6 rushing yards average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
29.5
Points / game
18.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+105
Current
−115
Change
−20
Best available moved from +105 to −115. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk is expected to miss two to three weeks after an MRI on Monday showed a knee sprain and bone bruise.
San Francisco 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk is expected to miss two to three weeks after an MRI on Monday showed a knee sprain and bone bruise.
foxsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Irv Charles
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Enrique Cruz Jr.
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
James Thompson Jr.
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Brock Purdy hit over 20.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Brock Purdy hit over 20.5 rushing yards in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
−175 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Brock Purdy Over 20.5 rushing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.