Charles Demmings
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
The bet: Over 39.5 rushing yards
Price as of Oct 25, 12:09 PM ET +101 at DraftKings
Opened −170 at Caesars, closed +101
5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games
Verified facts
Aaron Jones averaged 82 rushing yards across 5 stored games, above the 39.5 line. He had 19.4 rushing attempts per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
The opponent: Indianapolis Colts allowed 95.8 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this bet5of5
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
Rushing Yards per game, oldest to newest
82.0vs 39.5 line
Based on 5 games
Aaron Jones rushing yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 39.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rushing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 113 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 94 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 58 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 105 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 40 |
Closing price: DraftKings +101
Prices as of Oct 25, 12:09 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
JONES · TEAM CARRY SHARE
63.8%
2026 regular season5 games
IND · RUSHING YARDS
106.6yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Rest
+7days rest, MIN
MIN 14, IND 7
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−170
Current
+101
Change
+71
Best available moved from −170 to +101. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Minnesota Vikings
Max Brosmer
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Demond Claiborne
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Elijah Williams
DE · Coach's Decision ·
Jakobe Thomas
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Caleb Tiernan
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Indianapolis Colts
Bryce Boettcher
LB · Groin ·
Riley Leonard
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Sauce Gardner
CB · Calf ·
Dalton Tucker
G · Coach's Decision ·
Tyler Warren
TE · Groin ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Minnesota Vikings by 4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Vikings Initial Injury Report vs. Colts: Kevin O’Connell’s squad is getting healthier, and it’s a crucial week
The Minnesota Vikings are officially coming off of their bye week, with a battered Indianapolis Colts team coming to town.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Charles Demmings
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Alec Pierce
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Anthony Gould
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Aaron Jones hit over 39.5 rushing yards in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%). Last seen is +101 at DraftKings.
Aaron Jones hit over 39.5 rushing yards in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
+101 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Aaron Jones Over 39.5 rushing yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.