Christian Kirk
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SF Settled: Miss
Christian McCaffrey Under 104.5 Rush + Reception Yards vs. Commanders
The bet: Under 104.5 rush + reception yards
You checked 104.5, an alternate line. Most books: 103.5.
WAS@SF Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 104.5 in 4 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 10 to Oct 11L5 average 84.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 104.5 rush + reception yards lost.
Final: 117.
Hit rate vs the line
4of5
(80%)
Sep 10 – Oct 11
- 88
- 66
- 116
- 70
- 83
Rush + Rec Yds per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
84.6vs 104.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Christian McCaffrey rush + rec yds over the last 5 games versus a line of 104.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 104.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Rush + Rec Yds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @SEA | Hit | 83 |
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 70 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Miss | 116 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Hit | 66 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Hit | 88 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Washington Commanders
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.7
Points / game
26
Allowed / game
San Francisco 49ers
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
28.1
Points / game
19.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 104.5 rush + reception yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−114
Current
−110
Change
+4
Best available moved from −114 to −110. That pays $3.19 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
San Francisco 49ers
Deebo Samuel Sr.
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Washington Commanders
Charles Omenihu
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Fabian Moreau
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Christian McCaffrey Under 104.5 rush + reception yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Christian McCaffrey Under 104.5 rush + reception yards?
Christian McCaffrey hit under 104.5 rush + reception yards in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Christian McCaffrey Under 104.5 rush + reception yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.