Ajani Cornelius
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop DAL Settled: Miss
Javonte Williams Under 15.5 Longest Rush vs. Buccaneers
The bet: Under 15.5 longest rush
You checked 15.5, an alternate line. Most books: 14.5.
TB@DAL Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 15.5 longest rush lost.
Final: 21.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 8
- 9
- 22
- 13
Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
13.0vs 15.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Javonte Williams longest rush over the last 4 games versus a line of 15.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 15.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Rush |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Miss | 22 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Hit | 8 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2026 season · 7 games
2–5
Record
23.1
Points / game
21.6
Allowed / game
Dallas Cowboys
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
3–4
Record
27
Points / game
25.7
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 15.5 longest rush
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−105
Current
−104
Change
+1
Best available moved from −105 to −104. That pays $0.91 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallas Cowboys
Camden Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Antoine Winfield Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Baker Mayfield
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Javonte Williams Under 15.5 longest rush at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Javonte Williams Under 15.5 longest rush?
Javonte Williams hit under 15.5 longest rush in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Javonte Williams Under 15.5 longest rush?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.