Charles Cross
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop SEA Pending
Today's check
Sam Darnold Over 4.5 Longest Rush
The bet: Over 4.5 longest rush
CHI@SEA Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 9 – Oct 25
- 0
- 5
- 8
- 5
- 18
- 10
Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
7.7vs 4.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Sam Darnold longest rush over the last 6 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Rush |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsKC | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Hit | 18 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 0 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Sam Darnold
- Longest rush per game
- 7.7
Season · 6 games
Sam Darnold
DARNOLD · TEAM CARRY SHARE
5.4%
2026 regular season6 games
Chicago Bears
CHI · RUSHING YARDS
73.8yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Game
Rest
+3days rest, CHI
SEA 8, CHI 11
Market movement
Price history
Over 4.5 longest rush
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−125
Current
−125
Change
0
Best available moved from −125 to −125. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chicago Bears pass rushers paying close attention to Seahawks injury update (opens in a new tab)
Chicago Bears pass rushers paying close attention to Seahawks injury update
Chicago Bears pass rushers paying close attention to Seahawks injury update
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Jadarian Price
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Chicago Bears
Coby Bryant
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Kyle Monangai
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Sam Darnold Over 4.5 longest rush at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 longest rush?
Sam Darnold hit over 4.5 longest rush in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the best price for Sam Darnold Over 4.5 longest rush?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.