Christian Harris
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop BAL Settled: Miss
Longest Rush
Over 16.5 longest rush
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 8:15 PM ET −109 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Derrick Henry hit over 16.5 longest rush in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 11.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 0 of 1 (0%) in the last 1.
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Longest Rush per game, oldest to newest
20.8vs 16.5 line
Based on 4 games
Derrick Henry longest rush over the last 4 games versus a line of 16.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Rush |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Miss | 14 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Hit | 29 |
| Sep 20 | vsNO | Miss | 8 |
| Sep 13 | @IND | Hit | 32 |
Closing price: DraftKings −109 · 1¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 11, 8:15 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Derrick Henry: 18.5 longest rush average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
26
Points / game
22
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
23.7
Points / game
25.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−115
Current
−109
Change
+6
Best available moved from −115 to −109. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
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The Baltimore Ravens star quarterback has been ruled out of a Week 5 game against the Atlanta F...
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Christian Harris
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Cooper Rush
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Aeneas Peebles
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Andrew Vorhees
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Derrick Henry hit over 16.5 longest rush in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Derrick Henry hit over 16.5 longest rush in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
−109 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Derrick Henry Over 16.5 longest rush right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.