Zachariah Branch
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Pending
Emmett Johnson Under 16.5 Carries vs. Falcons
The bet: Under 16.5 carries
KC@ATL Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 16.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 8L7 average 2.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 20 – Nov 8
- 2
- 6
- 0
- 3
- 0
- 1
- 6
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
2.6vs 16.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Emmett Johnson carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vsNYJ | Hit | 6 |
| Nov 1 | @DEN | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 25 | @SEA | Hit | 0 |
| Oct 18 | vsLAC | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @LV | Hit | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Hit | 2 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Emmett Johnson
- Carries per game
- 3.2
Season · 8 games
Emmett Johnson
JOHNSON · TEAM CARRY SHARE
12%
2026 regular season8 games
Atlanta Falcons
ATL allows
23.4carries allowed/game to RBs
T-13th most (L4: 1st most)9 games
ATL · CARRIES FACED
34.2per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
Price history
Under 16.5 carries
Best price
Odds format
Open
−106
Current
−106
Change
0
Best available moved from −106 to −106. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes 'in a great spot' for Falcons game after injury scare (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes 'in a great spot' for Falcons game
The Kansas City Chiefs experienced a significant injury scare when quarterback Patrick Mahomes seemed to hurt his elbow.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Atlanta Falcons
Divine Deablo
doubtful
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Kansas City Chiefs
Jaylon Moore
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kenneth Walker III
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Emmett Johnson Under 16.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Emmett Johnson Under 16.5 carries?
Emmett Johnson hit under 16.5 carries in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.