Anthony Johnson Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop CHI Settled: Miss
D'Andre Swift Under 14.5 Carries vs. Patriots
The bet: Under 14.5 carries
NE@CHI Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET
Stayed under 14.5 in 1 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Oct 18L6 average 15.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 14.5 carries lost.
Final: 22.
Hit rate vs the line
1of6
(17%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
- 18
- 16
- 20
- 15
- 9
- 16
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
15.7vs 14.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
D'Andre Swift carries over the last 6 games versus a line of 14.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 14.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Miss | 16 |
| Oct 11 | @GB | Hit | 9 |
| Oct 4 | vsNYJ | Miss | 15 |
| Sep 28 | vsPHI | Miss | 20 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 16 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Miss | 18 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
New England Patriots
2026 season · 8 games
5–3
Record
23
Points / game
20.2
Allowed / game
Chicago Bears
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
6–2
Record
26.8
Points / game
20
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 14.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−103
Current
−111
Change
−8
Best available moved from −103 to −111. That pays $7.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Bears Week 7 Injury Report: Chicago gets an unexpectedly positive update on Jonah Jackson’s status going into Thursday’s game (opens in a new tab)
Bears Week 7 Injury Report: Chicago gets an unexpectedly positive update on Jonah Jackson’s status going into Thursday’s game
Bears Week 7 Injury Report: Chicago gets an unexpectedly positive update on Jonah Jackson’s status going into Thursday’s game
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chicago Bears
Case Keenum
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
New England Patriots
Alijah Vera-Tucker
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Behren Morton
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about D'Andre Swift Under 14.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for D'Andre Swift Under 14.5 carries?
D'Andre Swift hit under 14.5 carries in 1 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (17% hit rate).
What is the closing price for D'Andre Swift Under 14.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.