Dont'e Thornton Jr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Settled: Hit
The bet: Over 19.5 carries
You checked 19.5, an alternate line. Most books: 18.5.
Price as of Oct 4, 4:20 PM ET +135 at theScore Bet
2 of 3 decided (67%) · last 3 games
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Kenneth Walker III hit over 19.5 carries in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 22.
Closing price +135 at theScore Bet. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
2of3
(67%)
Sep 14 – Sep 27
Carries per game, oldest to newest
21.7vs 19.5 line
Based on 3 games
Kenneth Walker III carries over the last 3 games versus a line of 19.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Miss | 18 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Hit | 24 |
| Sep 14 | vsDEN | Hit | 23 |
Closing price: theScore Bet +135
Prices as of Oct 4, 4:20 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
5–0
Record
28
Points / game
16.6
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
27
Points / game
27
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+135
Current
+135
Change
0
Best available moved from +135 to +135. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Pregame research captured
Las Vegas Raiders
Jackson Powers-Johnson
G · Groin ·
Aidan O'Connell
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Jonah Laulu
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Darrell Luter Jr.
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Tristin McCollum
S · Coach's Decision ·
Kansas City Chiefs
Jared Wiley
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Garrett Nussmeier
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Diego Pounds
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jack Pyburn
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Josh Simmons
OT · Back ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Kansas City Chiefs by 5.4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)The Kansas City Chiefs have elevated LB Cole Christiansen for Week 4 against the Las Vegas Raiders.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
Kansas City Chiefs’ final injury report confirms veteran defender will make his 2026 debut in Week 4 vs. Las Vegas Raiders
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jack Bech
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jadon Canady
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Kenneth Walker III hit over 19.5 carries in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%). Last seen is +135 at theScore Bet.
Kenneth Walker III hit over 19.5 carries in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
+135 at theScore Bet was the recorded closing price for Kenneth Walker III Over 19.5 carries.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.