Aidan O'Connell
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Miss
Josh Allen Over 7.5 Carries vs. Raiders
The bet: Over 7.5 carries
BUF@LV Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 7.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Oct 12L5 average 8.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 7.5 carries lost.
Final: 5.
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 13 – Oct 12
- 6
- 14
- 8
- 5
- 10
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
8.6vs 7.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Josh Allen carries over the last 5 games versus a line of 7.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 7.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | @LA | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Hit | 14 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Miss | 6 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Buffalo Bills
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
6–1
Record
33.3
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Las Vegas Raiders
2026 season · 8 games
4–4
Record
27.6
Points / game
28.8
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 7.5 carries
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+108
Current
+100
Change
−8
Best available moved from +108 to +100. That pays $8.00 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Josh Allen issues response to injury rumors (opens in a new tab)
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen addressed whispers about his health after a less-than-stellar rushing game in Week 4.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
- Las Vegas Raiders Acquire 25-Year-Old WR in Sudden Move (opens in a new tab)
signing 25-year-old Jamari Thrash to the practice squad ahead of their Week 6
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Las Vegas Raiders
Bryce Cabeldue
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Josh Allen Over 7.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Josh Allen Over 7.5 carries?
Josh Allen hit over 7.5 carries in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Josh Allen Over 7.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.