DeShon Elliott
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop IND Settled: Miss
Carries
Over 19.5 carries
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 12:58 PM ET +100 at theScore Bet
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Jonathan Taylor hit over 19.5 carries in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 15.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Carries per game, oldest to newest
21.5vs 19.5 line
Based on 4 games
Jonathan Taylor carries over the last 4 games versus a line of 19.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsWAS(neutral) | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 27 | vsHOU | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 20 | @KC | Hit | 24 |
| Sep 13 | vsBAL | Miss | 19 |
Closing price: theScore Bet +100
Prices as of Oct 11, 12:58 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Jonathan Taylor: 20.3 rushing attempts average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
24
Points / game
27.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
22.8
Points / game
21.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−111
Current
+100
Change
+11
Best available moved from −111 to +100. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Pittsburgh Steelers
Eli Heidenreich
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Drew Allar
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Will Howard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Rico Dowdle
RB · Toe ·
Terell Smith
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Indianapolis Colts
Riley Leonard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Dalton Tucker
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ashton Dulin
WR · Hamstring ·
Jaylon Carlies
LB · Ribs ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Indianapolis Colts by 0.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Michael Pittman Jr. injury update It's assumed that Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers could look toward the 22-year-old more often with Pittman sidelined, potentially for at least a month.
Germie Bernard makes promise to Steelers after Michael Pittman Jr. injury update It's assumed that Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers could look toward the 22-year-old more often with Pittman sidelined, potentially for at least a month.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeShon Elliott
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Derrick Harmon
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Arden Key
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Darius Slayton
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jonathan Taylor hit over 19.5 carries in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Jonathan Taylor hit over 19.5 carries in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
+100 at theScore Bet is the best price attached to this check for Jonathan Taylor Over 19.5 carries right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.