RJ Harvey
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop DEN Pending
Today's check
J.K. Dobbins Over 7.5 Carries
The bet: Over 7.5 carries
You checked 7.5, an alternate line. Most books: 9.5.
KC@DEN Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 8
- 10
- 17
- 11
- 18
- 17
- 6
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
12.4vs 7.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
J.K. Dobbins carries over the last 7 games versus a line of 7.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 7.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @ARI | Miss | 6 |
| Oct 15 | vsSEA | Hit | 17 |
| Oct 11 | @LAC | Hit | 18 |
| Oct 4 | @SF | Hit | 11 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Hit | 8 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
J.K. Dobbins
- Carries per game
- 12.4
Season · 7 games
DOBBINS · TEAM CARRY SHARE
50.3%
2026 regular season7 games
DOBBINS · SNAP SHARE
40.7%
2026 regular season7 games
DOBBINS · POSITION
RB
Market movement
Price history
Over 7.5 carries
Best price
Odds format
Open
+110
Current
−117
Change
−27
Best available moved from +110 to −117. That pays $24.53 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Denver, CO · Grass
- Forecast
- 63°F20% precipitationGusts 9 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- KC -1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- Denver Broncos
- −108
- Kansas City Chiefs
- −112
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Denver Broncos
- 44%
- Kansas City Chiefs
- 56%
Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Talanoa Hufanga
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Kansas City Chiefs
L'Jarius Sneed
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Mansoor Delane
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about J.K. Dobbins Over 7.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for J.K. Dobbins Over 7.5 carries?
J.K. Dobbins hit over 7.5 carries in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.