Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SF Final · result not graded yet
Carries
Over 14.5 carries
2 of 5 decided (40%) · last 5 games
Price as of Oct 19, 8:11 PM ET −125 at BetMGM
Verified facts
Christian McCaffrey hit over 14.5 carries in 2 of his last 5 tracked games (40%).
Showing saved research.
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Closing price −125 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
2of5
(40%)
Sep 10 – Oct 11
Carries per game, oldest to newest
12.2vs 14.5 line
Based on 5 games
Christian McCaffrey carries over the last 5 games versus a line of 14.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @SEA | Miss | 11 |
| Oct 4 | vsDEN | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 27 | vsARI | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIA | Miss | 10 |
| Sep 10 | vsLA(neutral) | Miss | 10 |
Closing price: BetMGM −125 · 8¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 19, 8:11 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Christian McCaffrey: 12.2 rushing attempts average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
1–4
Record
22
Points / game
28.7
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
6–0
Record
29.5
Points / game
18.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+103
Current
−125
Change
−28
Best available moved from +103 to −125. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Christian Kirk
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Charles Omenihu
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Fabian Moreau
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Christian McCaffrey hit over 14.5 carries in 2 of his last 5 tracked games (40%).
Christian McCaffrey hit over 14.5 carries in 2 of 5 games across the last 5 games (40% hit rate).
−125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Christian McCaffrey Over 14.5 carries right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.