Isiah Pacheco
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
Upcoming check
Aaron Jones Over 7.5 Carries
The bet: Over 7.5 carries
MIN@DET Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
6of6
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 12
- 23
- 17
- 20
- 25
- 8
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
17.5vs 7.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Aaron Jones carries over the last 6 games versus a line of 7.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 7.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 8 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 12 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Aaron Jones
- Carries per game
- 17.5
Season · 6 games
Aaron Jones
JONES · TEAM CARRY SHARE
58%
2026 regular season6 games
Detroit Lions
DET · CARRIES FACED
24per game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
Price history
Over 7.5 carries
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−111
Current
−111
Change
0
Best available moved from −111 to −111. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Sources checked
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Detroit Lions
Kerby Joseph
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Minnesota Vikings
Jay Ward
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Aaron Jones Sr.
available
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 7.5 carries at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 7.5 carries?
Aaron Jones hit over 7.5 carries in 6 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (100% hit rate).
What is the best price for Aaron Jones Over 7.5 carries?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.