DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop PHI Pending
The bet: Under 2.5 receptions
Price as of Oct 25, 1:36 PM ET −115 at DraftKings · Updating prices...
Opened −118 at FanDuel, last seen −115
4 of 4 decided (100%) · this season
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Saquon Barkley averaged 1 catches across 4 stored games, below the 2.5 line. He had 1.8 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved statistics.
The opponent: Dallas Cowboys allowed 3.7 catches per game to opposing running backs combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this bet4of4
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
1.0vs 2.5 line
Based on 4 games
Saquon Barkley receptions over the last 4 games versus a line of 2.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsLA | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 28 | @CHI | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 20 | @TEN | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 13 | vsWAS | Hit | 1 |
Price as of Oct 25, 1:36 PM ET: DraftKings −115
Prices as of Oct 25, 1:36 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −115
Over −113
Over −115
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
BARKLEY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
6.6%of team targets
2026 regular season4 games
BARKLEY · TARGETS PER GAME
1.8targets/game
2026 regular season4 games
DAL · RECEPTIONS
20.2rec/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Open
−118
Current
−115
Change
+3
Best available moved from −118 to −115. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Research refreshed
after Jalen Hurts was sidelined by a blood clot.
signing QB Joe Milton off the Dallas Cowboys' practice squad
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dontayvion Wicks
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dee Winters
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drew Shelton
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Saquon Barkley hit under 2.5 receptions in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%). Last seen is −115 at DraftKings.
Saquon Barkley hit under 2.5 receptions in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.