DeShon Elliott
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop PIT Settled: Miss
Receptions
Under 3.5 receptions
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 12:58 PM ET −140 at theScore Bet
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Jaylen Warren hit under 3.5 receptions in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 6.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 1
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
3.3vs 3.5 line
Based on 4 games
Jaylen Warren receptions over the last 4 games versus a line of 3.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | @CLE | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vsATL | Miss | 5 |
Closing price: theScore Bet −140 · 16¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 11, 12:58 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +140
Over +137
Over +130
Over +132
Game context
Jaylen Warren: 3.5 receptions average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
24
Points / game
27.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
22.8
Points / game
21.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−140
Current
−140
Change
0
Best available moved from −140 to −140. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Pregame research captured
Pittsburgh Steelers
Eli Heidenreich
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Drew Allar
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Will Howard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Rico Dowdle
RB · Toe ·
Terell Smith
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Indianapolis Colts
Riley Leonard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Dalton Tucker
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ashton Dulin
WR · Hamstring ·
Jaylon Carlies
LB · Ribs ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Indianapolis Colts by 0.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Germie Bernard makes promise to Steelers after Michael Pittman Jr. injury update It's assumed that Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers could look toward the 22-year-old more often with Pittman sidelined, potentially for at least a month.
It's assumed that Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers could look toward the 22-year-old more often with Pittman sidelined, potentially for at least a month.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeShon Elliott
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Derrick Harmon
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Arden Key
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Darius Slayton
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jaylen Warren hit under 3.5 receptions in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Jaylen Warren hit under 3.5 receptions in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−140 at theScore Bet is the best price attached to this check for Jaylen Warren Under 3.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.