Aaron Banks
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop DAL Settled: Hit
Receptions
Under 3.5 receptions
4 of 5 decided (80%) · last 5 games
Price as of Oct 18, 8:09 PM ET −148 at DraftKings
Verified facts
Jake Ferguson hit under 3.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 2.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET | Green Bay Packers | 3.5 | −131 | hit |
4of5
(80%)
Sep 13 – Oct 8
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
3.0vs 3.5 line
Based on 5 games
Jake Ferguson receptions over the last 5 games versus a line of 3.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Hit | 2 |
Closing price: DraftKings −148 · 18¢ better than FanDuel
Prices as of Oct 18, 8:09 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +112
Over +116
Over +120
Game context
Jake Ferguson: 2.8 receptions average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
25.2
Points / game
26.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
21.2
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−110
Current
−148
Change
−38
Best available moved from −110 to −148. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Green Bay Packers coach Matt LaFleur confirmed that edge rusher Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night against the Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers coach Matt LaFleur confirmed that edge rusher Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night against the Dallas Cowboys
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Aaron Banks
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Benjamin St-Juste
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Alijah Clark
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Camden Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jake Ferguson hit under 3.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%).
Jake Ferguson hit under 3.5 receptions in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
−148 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Jake Ferguson Under 3.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.