Andrei Iosivas
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop PIT Pending
Today's check
DK Metcalf Under 4.5 Receptions
The bet: Under 4.5 receptions
PIT@CIN Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
Stayed under 4.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 4.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 4
- 3
- 5
- 3
- 11
- 2
- 1
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.1vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
DK Metcalf receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsCLE | Hit | 1 |
| Oct 25 | vsNO(neutral) | Hit | 2 |
| Oct 18 | @TB | Miss | 11 |
| Oct 11 | vsIND | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 1 | @CLE | Miss | 5 |
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 4 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
DK Metcalf
- Receptions per game
- 4.1
Season · 8 games
DK Metcalf
METCALF · TEAM TARGET SHARE
23.9%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN allows
10.8rec allowed/game to WRs
14th fewest (L4: T-13th most)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, PIT
PIT 14, CIN 7Divisional game
Market movement
Price history
Under 4.5 receptions
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−160
Current
−139
Change
+21
Best available moved from −160 to −139. That pays $9.44 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Sources checked
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Cincinnati Bengals
Brian Parker II
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Michael Pittman Jr.
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Derrick Harmon
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about DK Metcalf Under 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for DK Metcalf Under 4.5 receptions?
DK Metcalf hit under 4.5 receptions in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the best price for DK Metcalf Under 4.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.