Alec Pierce
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop IND Final · result not graded yet
Receptions
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 5.5.
Over 4.5 receptions
4 of 5 decided (80%) · last 5 games
Price as of Oct 18, 11:13 AM ET −148 at BetRivers
Verified facts
Tyler Warren hit over 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%).
Showing saved research.
Grading data is unavailable, so this result is not graded yet.
Closing price −148 at BetRivers. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
4of5
(80%)
Sep 13 – Oct 11
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
6.0vs 4.5 line
Based on 5 games
Tyler Warren receptions over the last 5 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | @PIT | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 4 | vsWAS(neutral) | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 27 | vsHOU | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 20 | @KC | Hit | 6 |
| Sep 13 | vsBAL | Miss | 3 |
Closing price: BetRivers −148 · 14¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 18, 11:13 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Tyler Warren: 6 receptions average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
1–5
Record
14
Points / game
21.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
24
Points / game
27.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−261
Current
−148
Change
+113
Best available moved from −261 to −148. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Indianapolis Colts
Riley Leonard
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Tyler Warren
TE · Groin ·
Dalton Tucker
G · Coach's Decision ·
Ashton Dulin
WR · Hamstring ·
Jaylon Carlies
LB · Ribs ·
Tennessee Titans
Kylen Granson
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Nicholas Singleton
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Alontae Taylor
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Kevin Winston Jr.
S · Quadriceps ·
Jackie Marshall
DT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Indianapolis Colts by 6.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)they listed fellow tight end Tyler Warren as questionable
Colts activate TE Will Mallory from IR
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Alec Pierce
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jordan Elliott
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Tyler Warren hit over 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%).
Tyler Warren hit over 4.5 receptions in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).
−148 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Tyler Warren Over 4.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.