Dont'e Thornton Jr.
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
NFL player prop LV Pending
Today's check
Michael Mayer Over 2.5 Receptions
The bet: Over 2.5 receptions
SEA@LV Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET
Cleared 2.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 27 to Nov 8L7 average 4.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 27 – Nov 8
- 3
- 8
- 1
- 7
- 3
- 5
- 3
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
4.3vs 2.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Michael Mayer receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 2.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @SF | Hit | 3 |
| Nov 1 | @NYJ | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 25 | vsLA | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 18 | vsBUF | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 11 | @NE | Miss | 1 |
| Oct 4 | vsKC | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 27 | @NO | Hit | 3 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Michael Mayer
- Receptions per game
- 4.3
Season · 9 games
Michael Mayer
MAYER · TEAM TARGET SHARE
14.8%of team targets
2026 regular season9 games
MAYER · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
9.4%
2026 regular season9 games
Seattle Seahawks
SEA allows
5.6rec allowed/game to TEs
T-14th most (L4: 10th most)9 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 2.5 receptions
Best price
Odds format
Open
−120
Current
−134
Change
−14
Best available moved from −120 to −134. That pays $8.70 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Las Vegas, NV · Grass
- Forecast
- 66°F0% precipitationGusts 8 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- SEA -6.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- Las Vegas Raiders
- +240
- Seattle Seahawks
- −298
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Las Vegas Raiders
- 26%
- Seattle Seahawks
- 74%
Seattle Seahawks by 6.4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Seahawks could get Sam Darnold back for Week 12 after Drew Lock starts vs. Raiders (opens in a new tab)
Seahawks could get Sam Darnold back for Week 12
Drew Lock starts vs. Raiders
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Las Vegas Raiders
Thomas Booker IV
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Seattle Seahawks
Charles Cross
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Leonard Williams
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Michael Mayer Over 2.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Michael Mayer Over 2.5 receptions?
Michael Mayer hit over 2.5 receptions in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.