Marcellas Dial Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIA Settled: Hit
Malik Washington Over 4.5 Receptions vs. Patriots
The bet: Over 4.5 receptions
NE@MIA Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 4.5 in 3 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L6 average 4.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 4.5 receptions won.
Final: 5.
Hit rate vs the line
3of6
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 3
- 4
- 5
- 5
- 6
- 3
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
4.3vs 4.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Malik Washington receptions over the last 6 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @NYJ | Miss | 3 |
| Oct 11 | vsCIN | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 4 | @MIN | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 27 | vsKC | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 20 | @SF | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @LV | Miss | 3 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
New England Patriots
2026 season · 8 games
5–3
Record
23
Points / game
20.2
Allowed / game
Miami Dolphins
Your selection
2026 season · 7 games
1–6
Record
16.7
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 4.5 receptions
Closing price
Odds format
Open
+102
Current
+130
Change
+28
Best available moved from +102 to +130. That pays $28.00 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Miami Gardens, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 74°F74% precipitationGusts 13 mph
Game-day inactives
Miami Dolphins
Jared Wayne
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Jaylin Simpson
S · Coach's Decision ·
Kadyn Proctor
OT · Concussion ·
Justin Joly
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Jamree Kromah
DE · Coach's Decision ·
New England Patriots
Behren Morton
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Karon Prunty
CB · Coach's Decision ·
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · Illness ·
A.J. Brown
WR · Ankle ·
Channing Canada
CB · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- NE -7
- Game total
- 41.5
- Miami Dolphins
- +275
- New England Patriots
- −345
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Miami Dolphins
- 20%
- New England Patriots
- 80%
New England Patriots by 8.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Dolphins Injury News: Proctor, Brents in Concussion Protocol (opens in a new tab)
Kadyn Proctor’s Status Creates Concern for Miami’s Offensive Line For the Dolphins, Proctor’s situation is particularly concerning because keeping the of...
Dolphins Injury News: Proctor, Brents in Concussion Protocol
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
Elliott Davison
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Marcus Bryant
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Malik Washington Over 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Malik Washington Over 4.5 receptions?
Malik Washington hit over 4.5 receptions in 3 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Malik Washington Over 4.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.