Jadarian Price
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Miss
Receptions
You checked 9.5, an alternate line. Most books: 6.5.
Over 9.5 receptions
1 of 3 decided (33%) · last 3 games
Price as of Oct 4, 4:20 PM ET +407 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 9.5 receptions in 1 of his last 3 tracked games (33%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 5.
Closing price +407 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
1of3
(33%)
Sep 9 – Sep 27
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
9.0vs 9.5 line
Based on 3 games
Jaxon Smith-Njigba receptions over the last 3 games versus a line of 9.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Miss | 9 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Miss | 8 |
Closing price: DraftKings +407 · 87¢ better than Fanatics
Prices as of Oct 4, 4:20 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 8.2 receptions average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
0–6
Record
15
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+390
Current
+407
Change
+17
Best available moved from +390 to +407. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Seattle Seahawks
Ty Okada
S · Hamstring ·
Jalen Milroe
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Avery Smith
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Chazz Surratt
LB · Calf ·
Brandon Pili
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Los Angeles Chargers
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
DJ Uiagalelei
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Dalvin Tomlinson
DT · Hamstring ·
Charlie Kolar
TE · Forearm ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Seattle Seahawks by 6.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)First-round pick Jadarian Price was placed on IR Saturday due to a chest injury sustained in practice, ESPN's Adam Schefter reported.
Report: Seahawks place first-round running back Jadarian Price on IR
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Jadarian Price
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Montorie Foster Jr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Alex Harkey
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 9.5 receptions in 1 of his last 3 tracked games (33%).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 9.5 receptions in 1 of 3 games across the last 3 games (33% hit rate).
+407 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 9.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.